4 min readRemember the debt ceiling fights of 2011 and 2013? They may be in the back of many investors’ minds now, but will likely be front and center again leading up to March 15, when the suspension of the federal government debt ceiling expires. Any institutional cash investor who lived through those earlier Congressional standoffs knows…
2 min readAbstract Policy, geopolitical, and idiosyncratic risks are real under the new administration. It is too soon to tell if the next four years will be friendly to cash investors. The economic drag from trade barriers and immigration control may offset some benefits from a federal stimulus and a pro-business Republican agenda. A potentially bifurcated outcome…
3 min readAs we approach the first rate hike cycle in almost a decade, it makes sense for cash investors to take stock of the state of the economy, as well as the Fed’s view of it. The pace at which the Fed raises interest rates will be important to anyone managing a cash portfolio, and close…
3 min readIntroduction How long does it take for “green shoots” to grow into a “soft patch”? For the U.S. economy, it has taken a little more than two years. In his famous 60 Minutes interview on March 15, 2009, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke popularized the phrase “green shoots” to describe the growing confidence in the…
2 min readFederal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke recently laid out his plans to lawmakers on how the Fed will eliminate programs, when needed, which pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into the financial system. In an op-ed piece for the Wall Street Journal, he wrote that the strategy is ready to be put to use, but noted…
3 min readRecent credit market events have stress-tested corporate cash portfolios more than at any time I can recall in my 28-year investment career. These events are shocking in scope and have threatened our financial system in ways not seen since the Great Depression. Because it’s so easy to “lose sight of the forest” in this unprecedented…