Media – Blog
February 21, 2019
It’s been widely publicized that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has come under pressure from the White House to pause rate hikes for fear of straining the economy. More recently, there have been allegations that balance sheet reduction is in part to blame for the volatility that shook markets in
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January 23, 2019
The longest government shutdown in history is already having a significant impact on the economy. Equally important, but less well understood, is the potential impact on negotiations over the March 1 deadline to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. As President Trump has continued to insist on a $5.7 billion allocation
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January 3, 2019
What a difference a year makes. Every January we publish a report analyzing top trends to monitor in the coming year. Last year, we noted the relative calm in short-term debt markets, a full-employment economy boosted by tax-cut legislation, and expectations that the Fed would continue its series of slow,
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December 13, 2018
Trade wars. Stock market volatility. An economy on the verge of overheating. Rising uncertainty about the Fed’s next moves. Welcome to 2019. Whatever happened to that more placid era of zero interest rates, when the Fed signaled its first tentative rate hikes months in advance? When that beautiful, unbroken string
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November 27, 2018
For corporate cash investors managing portfolios during an economic expansion, “what goes up, must come down” is a good rule to live by. The current decade-long expansion in the U.S.---among the longest on record---has defied that maxim so far. But as it matures into old age, risks for investors are
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October 23, 2018
A growing number of institutional cash investors seeking higher returns are turning to direct investments in commercial paper. Why? In part because prime money market funds no longer deliver an optimum combination of liquidity, safety and yield as they did in the past. Among other things, the SEC reforms two
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September 17, 2018
Corporate cash managers by necessity are amongst the most conservative of investors. Before optimizing yield potential, they must often worry first about ensuring liquidity while reducing risk. That’s why in the aftermath of the 2008 credit crisis, corporations hunkered down almost exclusively in government-issued and government-backed debt. For a time,
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August 15, 2018
Ever since reforms inspired by the financial crisis required prime money market funds to float their net asset values, institutional cash investors have been searching for alternatives that will provide the same type of dollar-in, dollar-out liquidity, safety of principal and yield that the old prime funds offered. And now
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August 14, 2018
Is an inverted yield curve still a reliable predictor of an impending recession? And will the recent flattening yield curve affect bank credit quality? Currently, with the narrowest spread between the 2-Year U.S. Treasury bill and the 10-Year U.S. Treasury note since the 2007 recession, both those questions are on
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July 16, 2018
Regardless of what you might think about cryptocurrencies, blockchain technology represents an undeniable breakthrough in how we manage information. In the last couple of years, interest in the sector has increased materially, with investments by the top 50 VC firms in the field exceeding $600 million in the first half
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