2 min readExecutive Summary As 2006 drew to a close, corporate cash investors found themselves in a surprisingly benign market. Despite the 100 basis-point increase in the Fed funds rate, major short-duration bond indices brought in positive returns almost universally. As managers of corporate cash investments, we picked five trends that reflect what we feel may have…
2 min readIntroduction The CFA Institute, an investment industry trade group formerly known as the Association for Investment Management and Research (AIMR), establishes and interprets the AIMR Performance Presentation Standards (AIMR-PPS) in North America. In more than a decade since their introduction, an increasing number of investment managers have voluntarily complied with the new standards that promote…
2 min readExecutive Summary The recent SEC investigation into the auction rate securities market found “industry-wide” violations by 15 major brokerage firms of the Securities Act of 1933. We think that the violations uncovered by the SEC lend evidence to the opinion that the auction rate securities (ARS) market did not have the competitive bidding element. We…
2 min readExecutive Summary With 400 basis points of Fed Funds rate increases over the past 24 months, investors are rightfully anxious about the impact of the Fed tightening policy. Our study finds that historically falling core CPI data tends to encourage the Fed to stop raising rates. Other key indicators, however, do not seem to have…
2 min readExecutive Summary Since the introduction of the first fund in 1972, institutional money market funds have gained a well deserved position in most corporate cash portfolios, thanks to their safety, constant share price, liquidity, and competitive yield. But money market fund investing is not risk-free. In the last 15 years, at least one institutional fund…
2 min readExecutive Summary Compared to past periods, the yield curve inversion we are experiencing is quite benign. Therefore, there need not be profound concerns that an economic recession will automatically derive from this phenomenon. After the Fed funds rate reaches its peak in the coming spring-summer timeframe, one can expect the shape of the yield curve…
2 min readExecutive Summary There are generally two ways of calculating investment returns. Mutual funds, pension plans, and investors with total return objectives predominantly use the market value based method. Money market funds, cash portfolios, insurance accounts and investors seeking income stability tend to rely on book value based returns. Sometimes, an investor may use a type…
2 min readExecutive Summary The most compelling argument for total return strategies is demonstrated by a difference of 1.73% in annualized returns between the 1-month and the 1-3 year Treasury benchmarks in the 1995-2004 period. The return difference translates into $26.6 million for a hypothetical investment with a starting value of $100 million. Even though neither of…
2 min readExecutive Summary The auction rate securities (ARS) market may be on the verge of a systemic meltdown after the recent PriceWaterhouseCoopers’ FAS 95 & 115 interpretations of ARS as long-term investments. Corporate cash managers may exit the ARS market. At a minimum, firms will likely scramble to comply with the new interpretation, experience technical defaults…
2 min readResearch Highlights The ratio of roughly 3 to 1 single-A vs. double-A issuers suggests a liquid market sector and potential for better risk diversification. One-year default probability but a single-A corporate issuer was 0.02% in the last 10 years. Investing in single-A securities would have increased cumulative credit losses by 0.20% over a five-year span…