3 min readAbstract The U.S. debt ceiling situation remains fluid, but we believe that a U.S. default is an extremely remote possibility. A ratings downgrade from AAA may be more likely due to the diminished prospect of a credible deficit reduction path. Market implications of such a downgrade may be greater than merely higher borrowing costs for…
2 min readAbstract Our recent participation at the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) roundtable discussion on money market funds and systemic risk gave us the impression that the government is moving closer to a policy draft on money market fund reform. Despite overwhelming complaints, the floating net asset value (“NAV”) approach remains a top choice for the…
2 min readIn May, Capital Advisors Group was invited to the Securities and Exchange Commission’s headquarters in Washington, D.C. to participate in a roundtable discussion on money market fund risk and to help consider potential policy changes for money market funds (the archived webcast can be found here). After years of publishing research on money fund risk,…
3 min readAbstract Recent events related to government sponsored enterprise (GSE) reform have prompted short-duration investors to question the level and nature of government support for their debt issuance after December 31, 2012. The housing GSEs play a critical role in the U.S. mortgage market, representing 99% of all new mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issuance in recent years….
2 min readIf location, location, location are the buzz words of real estate, then transparency, transparency, transparency is the latest catchphrase in corporate cash investing. Having a transparent visual on investments can be as valuable as being able to read your own MRI, but if you don’t know how to interpret the risks from the data, then…
2 min readAbstract AAA-rated fixed rate credit card ABS may be viable investments for corporate treasurers. Transparent asset collateral, servicer quality, potential sponsor support, relatively short maturity schedule, and soft-bullet structure are some of the sector’s advantages over other forms of ABS. The credit card ABS sector stood the test of time without significant ratings implications during…
1 min readIt’s human nature to generalize with broad strokes; one bad apple can spoil the whole bunch, as the saying goes. Our industry is filled with generalizations, from panning all insurance companies even when Berkshire Hathaway shines as a pillar of credit strength, to running from all Euro credits even when select Euro Financials are some…
1 min readManaging corporate cash with the objectives of capital preservation, liquidity, and return is often thought of as a staid and steady endeavor. However, in reality, buy lists need to be actively adjusted to preemptively manage credit risk. Over the last 12 months, credits have been affected by, among other things, earnings reports, regulatory reform, and…
2 min readAbstract Credit risks in prime money market funds stem from investments in non-government securities. In reviewing credit concentrations in a group of AAA-rated prime funds representing 50% of industry prime fund assets, we found that fund managers improved credit and liquidity positions by boosting investments in U.S. Treasuries and repurchase agreements. As of December 31,…
2 min readIntroduction As far as financial weather conditions go, the past few months represented very unusual patterns for financial regulators, who broke the usual summer doldrums with a number of regulatory gales. While the new regulations will likely have a profound and lasting impact on our financial lives, most of us are simply overwhelmed by the…