Credit & Risk

Demystifying Asset-Backed Commercial Paper: Opportunities, Risks and Practical Considerations

Demystifying Asset-Backed Commercial Paper: Opportunities, Risks and Practical Considerations

1 min readExecutive Summary ABCP can be a good investment choice in large corporate treasury accounts due to the depth, liquidity, flexibility, and yield potential of the asset class. ABCP gained popularity recently because increased event risk of corporate names resulted in concern about unsecured commercial paper. A potential investor of ABCP should carefully review the strength…

When to Choose a Single Over a Double

When to Choose a Single Over a Double

2 min readResearch Highlights The ratio of roughly 3 to 1 single-A vs. double-A issuers suggests a liquid market sector and potential for better risk diversification. One-year default probability but a single-A corporate issuer was 0.02% in the last 10 years. Investing in single-A securities would have increased cumulative credit losses by 0.20% over a five-year span…

Treading Merck-y Waters: How to Cope with Event Risk?

Treading Merck-y Waters: How to Cope with Event Risk?

3 min readOn the day Merck announced the withdrawal of its arthritis drug Vioxx, its stock price closed down 27% from the previous day. By the time Moody’s downgraded Merck’s debt to Aa2 40 days later, the formerly AAA-rated company had lost 42%, or $58 billion of its equity value. Is it time for investors of short-duration…

Asset-Backed Securities: Do They Belong In Corporate Accounts?

Asset-Backed Securities: Do They Belong In Corporate Accounts?

2 min readExecutive Summary Empirical data support the view that AAA-rated asset-backed securities provide comparable investment returns while incurring less credit risk and return volatility than AAA-rated corporate securities. The annual return advantage of ABS was 5 basis points (bps) over corporate securities in the last six years. The return pickup shot up to 41 bps annualized…

When AAA Does Not Mean Roadside Peace Of Mind

When AAA Does Not Mean Roadside Peace Of Mind

2 min readIntroduction Corporate treasurers frequently make investment decisions based on debt ratings from nationally recognized statistical rating agencies, namely Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch. This article addresses the credit risks of Auction Rate Securities (ARS) that are not adequately addressed by long-term credit ratings alone in short-term investment selections. Long-Term Ratings Do Not address Short-Term…

Fannie Is In Trouble Again. Shouldn’t You Care?

Fannie Is In Trouble Again. Shouldn’t You Care?

3 min readThe latest debacle at Fannie Mae is perhaps the deadliest in its existence as a Government Sponsored Enterprise (GSE). The latest discoveries by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprises Office (OFHEO) could ignite a firestorm that may result in dramatic makeovers at the very heart of the organization. As a corporate treasurer, should you sell…

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) Basics

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) Basics

1 min readWhat are Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities? Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), are inflation-indexed government bonds whose principal amount is adjusted periodically for inflation. A fixed interest rate is paid semi-annually on the adjusted amount. They may also be referred as Treasury Inflation-indexed Securities (TIIS). Overview of the TIPS Market Established in 1997 by the US Treasury,…

Peeling Back the Onion: Uncovering the True  Risks of Student Loan Backed Auction Rate  Securities

Peeling Back the Onion: Uncovering the True Risks of Student Loan Backed Auction Rate Securities

2 min readMoody’s Review for Downgrade and Fitch Rating Watch Negative: AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-1 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-2 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-3 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class A-4 auction rate note (Aaa/AAA) AMS-3, 2003, LP, Class B auction rate note (A3/A) Opinion…