Media – Blog
July 16, 2025
The Labor Market is Holding Up For the fourth consecutive month, nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations with June adding 147,000 jobs versus the projected 106,000. The trend of job growth remains solid and strong with average gains of 150,000 over the past 3 months, 130,000 over the past 6 months, and
Read more
July 2, 2025
Stagflation Headlines Close Out Q2 Economic data released at the end of June showed signs of stagflation, which is likely prompting the Fed to maintain its current policy stance in the near term: Looking ahead, GDP growth is projected to rebound in the second quarter, with estimates currently at +2.1%.
Read more
June 17, 2025
Tariffs Not Yet Impacting Inflation; & Softening Labor Market For the 4th month in a row, both headline and core CPI came in lower than expectations, suggesting companies have not yet passed tariff-driven price increases to consumers. For May, both readings came in at +0.1%; year-over-year CPI rose to 2.4%, while
Read more
June 10, 2025
Michelle “Miki” Bowman’s nomination as the Federal Reserve’s Vice Chair for Supervision was confirmed by the U.S. Senate on June 4th, 2025[1]. The confirmation aligns with Washington’s broader effort to unwind regulatory safeguards implemented after the Global Financial Crisis. During her testimony in April, Bowman advocated for "pragmatic tailoring”, adjusting
Read more
May 19, 2025
Risk-on Tone In Markets After US/China Tariff Reprieve On May 12th, the United States and China issued a joint statement announcing a 90 day tariff reprieve. The U.S. reduced its levies from 145% to 30%, while China dropped theirs from 125% to 10%. This was seen as a significant de-escalation
Read more
May 15, 2025
As we review the overall numbers for Q1 ’25, we see a tale of two markets – technology and healthcare. Tech market deal value of $11.5 billion remains very healthy relative to historical quarterly value numbers. Healthcare, on the other hand, hit a new quarterly low in deal value of
Read more
May 14, 2025
Before tariffs dominated the headlines, it was the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) that propelled movements in financial markets. The surging demand for AI models like ChatGPT and the advanced semiconductors needed to develop them primarily benefited the tech sector, while also driving increases in broader equities. Post-inauguration, attention to
Read more
May 5, 2025
Decent Underlying GDP Data Despite A Negative Headline Q1 2025 GDP contracted for the first time since 2022 on a pre-tariff import surge of 41.3%, the 2nd largest quarterly jump in the past 50 years. Since these goods and services are not produced here in the United States, they are
Read more
April 16, 2025
Markets Stabilize Following Tariff Announcements It has been a historic month for global markets due to the Trump administration’s on-again/off-again tariff announcements. Despite the recent volatility, we are seeing signs that markets may be stabilizing: Source: Bloomberg Volatility Leads to Dip Buying Although money market fund assets have increased to
Read more
April 10, 2025
Yesterday, President Trump announced via Truth Social that he would be suspending reciprocal tariffs on nearly all countries for a 90-day period – marking a significant de-escalation in U.S. tariff policy. While not entirely clear from the President’s post, the indication is that countries previously in line to face tariffs
Read more