Independent Investment Research

Building on over 33 years of industry-leading research, Capital Advisors Group provides comprehensive, independent investment research and credit analysis which we believe is relevant to the unique risks and challenges faced by finance professionals. Our research staff is committed to improving the safety and liquidity of cash portfolios in all market conditions.

Credit & Risk

06/30/2026

To Hike or Not to Hike: Is the Fed About to Change Course?

Alexander Goldman

Key Takeaways Shifting Expectations: How the Middle East Conflict Altered the Fed’s Rate Path The conflict in the Middle East has thrown a wrench into the Federal Reserve’s cutting cycle.

Cash Portfolio, Economy, Federal Reserve

Flagship Research

Venture Debt

Most Read Articles

Investment Management

A2/P2 (Tier-2) Commercial Paper: Considerations for Institutional Cash Investors
11 min readAs money market reform reshapes institutional cash investing, treasury teams may find it worthwhile to take a closer look at A2/P2 commercial paper—and its…
A2/P2 Commercial Paper, Cash Portfolio, Investors, Liquidity, Tier-2 Commercial Paper
The Critical 5: Key Themes Investors Shouldn’t Ignore in 2026
21 min readIntroduction: Turning the Page—Who’s at the Controls in 2026? By Lance Pan, CFA If 2024 was the year of the “soft landing,” 2025 became…
2026, AI, Cash Investor, Corporate treasurer, Federal Reserve, Portfolio Management, Tokenization, Year Ahead
Could Your Liquidity Portfolio Benefit from A2/P2 Commercial Paper?
14 min readCo-authored: Andrew Tong Abstract The inclusion of A2/P2 commercial paper (Tier-2 CP) in institutional cash portfolios may help improve income potential and diversify risk…
A2/P2 Commercial Paper, Cash Portfolio, Investors, Liquidity, Tier-2 Commercial Paper
Privatizing America’s Housing Giants: How Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Could Reshape Bond Markets for Investors
15 min readIntroduction: Why GSE Privatization Matters to Investors Given their oversized role in home mortgages, any discussion of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s potential privatization…
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, GSE Privatization, Investors, US Housing Finance
Tips for Cash Investors in Times of Market Volatility
3 min readIntroduction Market volatility has been elevated following the White House’s tariff announcement on April 2nd. While the source of this heightened volatility is unique…
Geopolitics, Interest Rates, Liquidity, Portfolio Management
Rates, Liquidity, and Tariffs: Three Questions to Answer in 2025
19 min readIntroduction By Lance Pan, CFA 2024 was a remarkable year for financial markets in many respects. The estimated 2.7% growth in real gross domestic…
Geopolitics, Interest Rates, Liquidity, Portfolio Management, Year Ahead

Credit & Risk

To Hike or Not to Hike: Is the Fed About to Change Course?
10 min readKey Takeaways Shifting Expectations: How the Middle East Conflict Altered the Fed’s Rate Path The conflict in the Middle East has thrown a wrench…
Cash Portfolio, Economy, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Interest Rates
Private Credit Isn’t Cracking—But Investors Should Watch Closely
11 min readKey Takeaways Private Credit Hits the Headlines: Key Stress Events Over the past few weeks, private credit has moved from a niche corner of…
AI, CLARITY Act, Digital assets, Digital Cash, Genius Act, Institutional Investors, Stablecoins
Digital Cash is Here: How the OCC and CLARITY Act May Transform Institutional Liquidity
7 min readIntroduction: How Stablecoins Are Changing Corporate Cash Management For decades, the fundamental mechanics of corporate cash management in marketable securities have been defined by…
AI, CLARITY Act, Digital assets, Digital Cash, Genius Act, Institutional Investors, Stablecoins
Is This the “SaaSpocalypse”? What AI Disruption Really Means for Investors
3 min readRecently, in our blog Investing in AI? The Hidden Risks Behind the Hype, we outlined key considerations for investors looking to purchase debt from…
AI, Investors, SaaSpocalypse, Software
A 10% Credit Card Rate Cap: Relief for Consumers or a Credit Squeeze?
10 min read10% Credit Card APR Cap: How It Could Shake Up Banks and Borrowers Last month, President Trump revived calls for a one-year 10% cap…
ABS, Banks, Credit Card, Investors, Rate Cap
Investing in AI? The Hidden Risks Behind the Hype
6 min readNearly four years after we first highlighted the credit advantages of Big Tech’s large cash holdings, balance sheet strength has only grown more important…
Artificial Intelligence, Big Tech, Debt, Investors

Economics & Rates

A New Fed Chair, A New Direction?
7 min readWhat Kevin Warsh’s Confirmation Signals for Monetary Policy and Market Expectations Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh is now officially Chair of the Federal Reserve after…
Economy, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Kevin Warsh, Monetary Policy
The Billion-Dollar Deportation Dilemma: Cutting Jobs to “Save” Jobs?
6 min readAs President Trump’s administration kicks off its second term, one of its most contentious executive orders—the mass deportation of undocumented immigrants—is already stirring debate…
Interest Rates
Investing with Economic Uncertainty in Mind
4 min readEconomic forecasting is oftentimes an exercise in futility. Analysts with access to all the data and the best models can be no more accurate…
Interest Rates
What’s In Your Cart? Consumer Products Sales During Economic Transitions
6 min readRecent inflation readings have shown promise that price increases are returning to the Fed’s 2% target, a positive for the consumer and economy that…
Parsing the Red Sea Disruptions
6 min readIntroduction Following pandemic-era supply chain disruptions, bottlenecks have become a top-of-mind subject for investors. At the center of the Fed’s tightening cycle was the…
Global Economy, Supply Chain
Where is the Neutral Rate?
9 min readCould potential changes in the economy from the end of the Fed’s tightening cycle lead to a higher neutral rate? Introduction With the Federal…
Federal Reserve, Interest Rates

Independent Investment Research

Flagship Research

Venture Debt

Most Read Articles

Investment Management

A2/P2 (Tier-2) Commercial Paper: Considerations for Institutional Cash Investors

The Critical 5: Key Themes Investors Shouldn’t Ignore in 2026

Could Your Liquidity Portfolio Benefit from A2/P2 Commercial Paper?

Privatizing America’s Housing Giants: How Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Could Reshape Bond Markets for Investors

Tips for Cash Investors in Times of Market Volatility

Rates, Liquidity, and Tariffs: Three Questions to Answer in 2025

Credit & Risk

To Hike or Not to Hike: Is the Fed About to Change Course?

Private Credit Isn’t Cracking—But Investors Should Watch Closely

Digital Cash is Here: How the OCC and CLARITY Act May Transform Institutional Liquidity

Is This the “SaaSpocalypse”? What AI Disruption Really Means for Investors

A 10% Credit Card Rate Cap: Relief for Consumers or a Credit Squeeze?

Investing in AI? The Hidden Risks Behind the Hype

Economics & Rates

A New Fed Chair, A New Direction?

The Billion-Dollar Deportation Dilemma: Cutting Jobs to “Save” Jobs?

Investing with Economic Uncertainty in Mind

What’s In Your Cart? Consumer Products Sales During Economic Transitions

Parsing the Red Sea Disruptions

Where is the Neutral Rate?

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